Political Science Archives - Andrew Annear

Allan Lichtman: Predicting Presidential Elections with Precision

Allan Lichtman’s Presidential Election Model Allan Lichtman, a political scientist and historian, developed a presidential election model that has successfully predicted the outcome of every U.S. presidential election since 1984. The model is based on 13 “keys” that are divided into two categories: economic and non-economic. Economic keys include factors such as the state of … Read more